We’re a Year In.  It’s Time for the Checklist!

I asked an AI (copilot) to come up with a checklist of progression toward facism.  I must say that it did an excellent job.  I’ll present the checklist here, and future posts will detail each category in turn.

Warning Signs of Democratic Backsliding

Stage 1 — Early Democratic Erosion

  • Erosion of trust in democratic institutions
  • Leaders framing political opponents as existential threats
  • Increasing use of conspiracy narratives to explain political setbacks
  • Attacks on independent media as “biased,” “fake,” or “enemies”
  • Growing tolerance for political violence in rhetoric
  • Declining transparency in government decision-making
  • Expansion of executive power through “emergency” language
  • Attempts to delegitimize courts or regulatory bodies
  • Normalization of corruption or conflicts of interest
  • Shrinking space for civil society and watchdog groups

Stage 2 — Institutional Capture

  • Stacking courts with loyalists
  • Politicizing law enforcement and intelligence agencies
  • Rewriting rules for elections, voting, or districting to entrench power
  • Weakening or replacing independent oversight bodies
  • Using state resources to reward allies and punish critics
  • Restricting access to public information
  • Expanding surveillance powers without proportional oversight
  • Pressuring private companies to align with government narratives
  • Increasing use of state media or government-aligned outlets
  • Criminalizing leaks, whistleblowing, or investigative journalism

Stage 3 — Soft Authoritarianism

  • Harassment or legal prosecution of opposition leaders
  • Disqualification of candidates on technical or vague grounds
  • Restricting protests or requiring burdensome permits
  • Expanding definitions of “extremism,” “sedition,” or “national security threats”
  • Government-aligned oligarchs acquiring independent media
  • Internet throttling, censorship, or algorithmic manipulation
  • Loyalty tests for civil servants, educators, or military personnel
  • Use of tax audits or regulatory pressure against critics
  • State-sponsored disinformation campaigns targeting dissent
  • Normalization of paramilitary or vigilante groups aligned with the ruling party

Stage 4 — Hard Authoritarianism

  • Elections become symbolic or noncompetitive
  • Opposition parties banned or severely restricted
  • Judiciary fully subordinated to executive power
  • Widespread political imprisonment
  • Nationalization or forced takeover of independent media
  • Severe restrictions on speech, assembly, and association
  • Militarization of domestic policing
  • Use of emergency powers without clear end dates
  • Constitutional changes enabling indefinite rule
  • State ideology enforced through education, culture, and law

Stage 5 — Total Consolidation

  • Cult of personality around the leader
  • Mandatory ideological education or loyalty rituals
  • Criminalization of dissenting identity groups
  • State control of the economy to reward loyalty
  • Surveillance integrated into daily life (digital or physical)
  • Elimination of independent civil society
  • State rewriting of history to justify permanent rule
  • Use of fear, coercion, or violence as routine governance tools

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Now, before you launch into the individual discussions of these stages, take some time and watch this excellent YouTube video: